Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.150852 0.167110 0.183744 0.201996 0.221418 0.241430 0.263568
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.128588 0.151011 0.174806 0.201801 0.231444 0.262874 0.298588
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.112819 0.139558 0.168853 0.203042 0.241563 0.283353 0.331843
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.098901 0.128562 0.162047 0.202149 0.248378 0.299538 0.359968
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.090217 0.122610 0.160161 0.206142 0.260181 0.320973 0.393828
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.081089 0.115230 0.155853 0.206673 0.267497 0.336972 0.421344
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.072978 0.108343 0.151502 0.206600 0.273666 0.351347 0.446815
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065319 0.101357 0.146458 0.205182 0.277826 0.363078 0.469019
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059965 0.096902 0.144194 0.206857 0.285472 0.378779 0.495827
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056808 0.095104 0.145104 0.212340 0.297688 0.399929 0.529175
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052026 0.090679 0.142272 0.212793 0.303461 0.413169 0.553000
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049331 0.088973 0.142874 0.217548 0.314560 0.432894 0.584713
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045490 0.085424 0.140905 0.218962 0.321569 0.447864 0.611082
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041333 0.081077 0.137577 0.218361 0.325849 0.459377 0.633226
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038085 0.077854 0.135615 0.219432 0.332185 0.473416 0.658505
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034497 0.073797 0.132223 0.218350 0.335557 0.483635 0.679020
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032680 0.072451 0.132652 0.222467 0.345762 0.502532 0.710433
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030051 0.069537 0.130596 0.222975 0.351066 0.515135 0.733963
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027491 0.066518 0.128206 0.222868 0.355443 0.526495 0.755925
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024819 0.063060 0.124952 0.221357 0.357794 0.535158 0.774439
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023096 0.061165 0.124009 0.223108 0.364554 0.549550 0.800288
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022346 0.061025 0.125805 0.228868 0.376869 0.571275 0.835636
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.020572 0.058765 0.124088 0.229339 0.381790 0.583262 0.858498